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Luck of the Draw


Author: Jay Greenspan
Published on: 20:47:05 on Jun 28, 2007

Everyone knows that luck plays a huge role in tournament poker, with races and the like often determining the distribution of huge sums of money. But the role of luck neither starts nor ends with the deck of cards. One of the more significant elements of chance is determined by the Rio’s computers when they give out seat assignments.

Take, for instance, the 2k Limit Hold ‘em event that started yesterday. Many of the pros thought there would be a mouth-watering overlay, as so many of the entrants rarely if ever play limit games.

As I walked through the starting field of the event, I went from table to table without seeing a familiar face. Then, at table 145, I saw the following lineup: Rafe Furst, Jeff Lisando, Clonie Gowen, and Joe Sebok.

“This is no fun,” said Rafe.

In today’s starting event, the $5,000 short-handed no–limit, you’d expect to see some tough tables. With a $900,000 prize expected for first place, you could expect all the pros to be out for this one. And the high buy-in would keep away most of the kitchen table crowd.

Erick Lindgren had Nick Schulman as the button to his big blind. And the Devilfish, who quickly accumulated a big stack, had Howard Lederer, with a stack of almost equal size, immediately to his left.

As I surveyed the room, I came to think that no one in the room regretted her draw more than Jennifer Harman. Harman was in the 1 seat of table 37. Seat 2, Phil Laak. Seat 3, Hoyt Corkins.

Laak seemed to be playing well and he was gathering chips. But what really bothered Harman was the table banter.

In a hand during the 100-200 blind level, it was folded to Harman, who completed from the small blind. Laak checked his option. The flop came Js-Qs-9h, and Harman bet 200. Laak called. The turn was the 4c. Harman bet 700; Laak called. The river brought the Tc and both players checked.

Harman turned over Qd-3d, for top pair. Laak waited a few moments before declaring, “Slow-roll a chop!” He showed Q-2. The pot was split.

Harman turned to Laak and said, “I bet you’re really fun at a bar, but not at a poker table.”

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Leave the Hammer at Home


Author: Jay Greenspan Tournament: 50K HORSE
Published on: 13:10:05 on Jun 24, 2007

Like the vast majority of the poker-playing public these days, I prefer big-bet games to limit. My best game, like yours, is no-limit hold ‘em. When I’m playing well—when my table selection is good and my reads are on—chips come my way in great piles. I’ll sense what an opponent feels is an uncallable bet or convince some maniacal fish to fire at the pot yet again after hitting my set.

John Phan As much as I enjoy no-limit, I have to admit that it’s really not a game that involves a whole lot of subtlety. Many of the game’s best players come to the table with a single tool—a sledgehammer. They bash and pound their opponents, forcing strings of bad folds and the occasional disastrous call. Watch David Williams or John Pham play a no-limit tournament some time. It’s impressive, but it ain’t pretty.

Today at WSOP we get a reprieve from the relentless cries of “all-in.” There will be no daring and crazy bluffs. There will be no heroic calls.

That’s because today the $50k HORSE event begins. The best in the field will distinguish themselves by finding spots for thinnest of value bets in limit hold ‘em, or by maneuvering for the free card on Fifth Street in seven-stud. They’ll recognize when their draw to a six is a 53 percent favorite over a made 8 in Razz and put in the appropriate raise. They’ll win by continually exploiting the smallest advantages.

Last year, three of the regular winners of the “Big Game,” the $4,000-$8,000 rotation game at the Bellagio, made the final table—Phil Ivey, Chip Reese, and Doyle Brunson.  This year we can expect the big game to be similarly represented. Ted Forrest, Jennifer Harman, and Barry Greenstein are among those who could go very deep. 

According to Greenstein, those who beat the big game manage a long-term profit of one-quarter of one big bet an hour. And while 2k/hour is an impressive wage, it’s amazing to think that the most one can take out of any game is half a small bind. With that kind of margin, every decision is crucial. Think of it this way: If you miss one river value bet, you’ve cost yourself four hours of profit.

To beat the highest level of competition at the highest stakes, the winning players need to possess a vast array of tools. Frankly, as a hammer-wielding no-limit hold ‘em player myself, I’m not even sure what many of these tools will look like.

But I’ll do my best to figure it out. Over the next few days, I’ll be following Ivey, Harman as others as they progress through the $50k HORSE event. Hopefully, I’ll be able to learn a thing or two and pass on the knowledge.

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Flight of the Phoenix (Making a WSOP Final Table)


Author: Thomas Fuller Tournament: 2007 WSOP
Published on: 11:22:05 on Jun 13, 2007

I have risen from the ashes of personal and professional disappointment to heights I have never before reached. Behind a heap of good cards, fortunate table draws, rail support from the Masters Pi and J33*, a few ballsy moves that somehow worked, stockpiled positive karma, and one big uncharacteristic suckout to end the day, I was able to win two tables at the $1500 No Limit Hold em Shootout and advance to the final table Tuesday at 2 PM.

Right before the first round, Kirk Morrison came up to me and we talked about Speight's, whose brewery logo was on my shirt. It's probably my favorite shirt and I wear it all the time, always hoping someone will know what Speight's is and talk to me about it. After I finished off Jennifer Harman heads up to win the first table, the dealer told me she was a reader of my blog. My head was spinning and I got pulled over for administrative purposes; I really wish I had gotten her name and talked a little more. Those were two nice cherries on this Sundae of a Monday.

Joining me at the final table are:

Seat 1 - Donald Baruch
Seat 2 - Daniel Negreanu
Seat 3 - Jared Davis
Seat 4 - Thomas Fuller
Seat 5 - Fred Goldberg
Seat 6 - Brendan Lee
Seat 7 - Michael Wehner
Seat 8 - Doug Baughman
Seat 9 - Erick Lindgren



*Chris Viox and Jason Dewitt (who made this same final table last year)

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They're Back, Part D


Author: Michael Craig Tournament: 2007 WSOP
Published on: 18:47:55 on Jun 02, 2007

The rest of Friday morning dissolves into a blur of images, of people and places not seen for far too long. We may be a bunch of captured escapees greeting each other in the exercise yard, but it sure seemed good to see everyone and everything - even if some of the memories were bittersweet.

Annie Duke - We saw each other just briefly at Jennifer Harman's charity tournament and the unveiling of her picture in Caesars' poker room, but hadn't really visited since last year's World Series. Back when I was in L.A. every other week interviewing her brother or Chris Ferguson for the Full Tilt book, we would get together so often that Jo Anne would gaze dreamily at pictures of Joe Reitman on the Internet, just to know if I could carry on a fantasy fling, she could too.

Annie was thrilled and excited about the huge ad in USA TODAY for Ante Up for Africa, the tournament she and Don Cheadle are hosting the day before the Main Event. She didn't even notice that the special section devoted to poker had a caricature of her - a very nice one - and a bit saying her nicknames were "The Duke" and "Annie Legend."

I think Annie Duke would punch me if I called her Annie Legend, even for fun.

We made vague plans to get together. "Text me," she said, repeating the message of almost every other poker pro in the house. Professional poker players are high-high-high on the list of the most frequent and agile text messagers.

I was so happy to see Annie that I gave her four hugs, and got at least one in return. I wished her luck during the last one and she whispered in my ear, "I'm a little bit sick."

We all are, babe. That's part of the charm.

Phil Gordon - Phil got MARRIED since the last time I saw him. I'm predicting a big Series for Phil and I told him, in addition to anyone else who will listen. He, too, was thrilled by the ad in USA TODAY's special poker section devoted to his favorite cause, cancer cures. Like Annie, he had high praise for Harrah's efforts to promote his cause. Phil and I also discussed, as commentators on the game, how a lot of outside media would spin the inevitable decline in Main Event numbers into a "poker is dead" sound-bite and what we could do, while being responsible and impartial, to rain (or at least urinate) on their parade.

Pauly - I saw the King of Bloggers, the Mayor of the Tilted Kilt, in the media line. It was the first time in half a year and I was amazed at how Paul looked ... good. I mean, healthy, fit, clean. Not the poster boy for the Seven Deadly Sins that I had grown to love and fear. But he assured me, "It's the 'before' picture."

Johnny Chan walks by, carrying a gold shopping back. There's Liz Lieu, looking gorgeous, yet way too skinny for a healthy human being. Chris Ferguson arrives and is mobbed by poker fans.

Howard Lederer, I learned, is not here for the start of the Series. He is attending his 25-year high school reunion. I e-mail him that I insist he give me the details for this blog. "If you don't," I write, "I'm just going to make it up, and what are you going to do then?"

I finally get out of the Rio at about 1 PM. I had shown up at 9 AM just to sneak in and register. Half my ensemble is pajamas and I haven't bathed or shaved.

I stop by a sandwich shop on the way back and am drawn into a conversation of three people about the quality of food offered casino employees. "Bellagio is best," Jennifer tells me. Jennifer is smokin-hot; I don't catch the names of the two dudes she's with. "After that, Wynn is great. Caesars has good food but they make you eat it in a pit." What's bad? "I think the worst is Riviera. When I worked there, everyone said to stay away from the EDR [employee dining room], including people who served the food. Tropicana is no good, and New York New York? That place is terrible."

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