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Organizational Failures in the $5K Heads-up


Author: Thomas Fuller Tournament: 2007 WSOP
Published on: 19:51:08 on Jun 21, 2007

I did not play the $5k Heads Up tournament at the WSOP, but I can confidently say it was one of the worst-run tournaments in WSOP history. There were a couple of relatively minor problems that many tournaments struggle with, and there was one huge ethical debacle that ranks amongst the worst errors in poker organizational history (browse to the end of the photo gallery from the event to get an idea of the wasted time).

The minor issues were the long delays past scheduled start times and a silly payout structure that paid 16% of the players. I don't have a problem with paying 16%, but that causes a bit of a grimace when one considers the prestige associated with cashing at the WSOP and some of the rankings that reward a WSOP cash. If a WSOP cash is a tangible, meaningful thing, then all the tournaments should pay the same ratio of players. Every other tournament at the WSOP, to the best of my knowledge, pays about 10% of the field.

 

The big disaster in the 5k HU was the awarding of byes. A heads-up tournament requires a bracket-style single elimination system. For the tournament to work, players must be eliminated by one half in every round until only one remains. There must be 2 to the x power players, as long as x is a whole number. So there can be 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256, 512, etc. players. At first it appeared the WSOP would cap the entrants at one of these numbers, most likely 256. The day before the tournament started, however, it was announced the cap would be 512. The powers that be elected to set the cap at 512 surely knowing that they likely wouldn't get that many registrants, knowing this would necessitate awarding byes in order to consolidate the field to exactly 256 players.

They wound up with 392 players, which meant that 120 received a first round bye and 272 played in the first round. Half of these first round winners, 136, would advance to play in the second round. The byes were drawn randomly.

392 players put up $5000 apiece, generating 1,960,000. After Harrah's took 6% rake, the total prizepool was $1,842,400. The average equity for the 392 players was $4700 (1.8424m/392). The average equity for the 120 players with byes was $7,197 ( 1.842m/256), as they were playing in a 256-player tournament. The average equity for the 272 players without byes was $3598 (1.842m/512), as they were playing in what amounted to a 512-player tournament. 120 players had double the equity of the other 272, because they were randomly given byes.

The goal of any poker tournament director should be to provide maximum fairness and minimum luck. When 30% of the field has double the equity of the other 70%, because their names were drawn out of a hat, that constitutes a MAJOR ethical problem.

One seemingly obvious solution would have been to have given the players in the first round a 50% refund. The 272 first-round players would pay $2500 apiece for the right to play one match for a $5000 seat to the "real" tournament. This is how the Mirage ran their heads-up tournament in May. However, there are two problems with this refund idea.

First, there is an equity redistribution problem. The 120 players with byes have an initial average equity of $4700, as they are random players who signed up for the tournamnet. The 272 drawn to play in the first round also have an initial average equity of $4700, also being random players who signed up for the tournament. However, when the 136 winners join the 120 byes, an equity gap has been created. These 136 winners defeated 136 losers. On some level, the 136 winners are better players than the 136 losers. 136 players who are on average weaker than the average sample have been eliminated from the tournament.

The 136 winners can also be thought of as better than the 120 random players who received byes. So at this point, we have a field of 256 players. 120 of these players have an average skill level for the original 372 player field. 136 of these players have an above average skill level for the original 372 player field (we know this because they won their first round match). Also, these 136 players only had to make half the investment of the other 120. The 136 winners had to pay half the investment of the 120 byes to play in a tournament twice as large - but their tournament had an easier field. So receiving a bye would be a disadvantage from an equity standpoint.

The second problem, of course, is that Harrah's would lose out on a lot of juice.

The only real way to have prevented this would have been to cap the tournament at 256 players, but again, Harrah's wouldn't get maximum juice that way. Sadly, that seems to be the most indicative factor determining the organization of today's World Series of Poker. 

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The Art of Heads-Up Poker


Author: Jeremiah Smith Tournament: 2007 WSOP
Published on: 15:34:31 on Jun 21, 2007

Today a champion will be crowned (braceleted?) in the $5,000 Heads-Up World Championship.  They will have won eight matches in a row, plus two out of three in the final.

After covering three heads-up events in the last few months, I've been able to speak with a number of players about their strategy.  Some just take it one hand at a time, letting things play themselves out.  Others come out firing, keep firing, and often go down firing.  But a few of these players have separated themselves from the pack with a well-rounded approach that can be summed up in one word:

Position.

A conversation with Paul Wasicka underlined the importance of this concept.

"I don't recommend playing that many raised pots out of position—I just don’t call very much from the big blind." He says it's much better to re-raise from the big blind with two big cards, or a decent ace.  By playing small pots in position on the button, you can have a terrible hand but win pots easily based on your reads.

"Usually I am going to do one of two things in the big blind when I’m head-up; fold or re-raise." Paul recommends a re-raise that's about 4x their bet. This puts the pressure on your opponent to release his hand or play a big pot with an inferior holding. If they come back over the top, it's obviously time to re-evaluate.

Having the button when you are heads-up means you have the ability to gain the neccessary information you need before you act.  "I can have a much worse hand, but even if I know they have an overpair I can take the pot away based on the texture of the board."

Professionals admit that you are never a huge favorite in heads-up play because of the high level of variance.  And with only one match to decide a victor, playing in position will give you a much-needed edge on your opponent.

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The Heads Up Walrus


Author: Thomas Wahlroos Tournament: 2007 WSOP
Published on: 18:54:32 on Jun 20, 2007

Things going a bit better now. After deciding to quit online and Chinese poker for this trip my live game has improved significantly and I feel that I’m playing to my A-game. The first tournament that I played as a new born “tournament only player” I came 14 / 850, after losing all my chips with AK vs. A10 all in pre flop vs. Scott Bohlman. It’s always brutal to come close and not making it but I was happy to be playing good again.

My next tournament was the Heads Up World Championship. I got a bye for the first round and played some random kid I never met before in round two. He played ok, but he went broke when I flopped the nut straight and trapped him. In round three however, I got the absolute worst draw I could hope for.

I was up against my good friend and heads up specialist Patrik Antonius.

How’s that for a draw?

I don’t really want to get into the specifics of the heads up at this point as my future opponents would get too much information about my play and could use that against me. I’ll walk you bye a few key hands of the battle of the Finns however.

About 5 minutes into the heads up Patrik flopped a broadway straight and I had a straight flush draw and a pair. I also made two pair on the turn and this hand ended up costing me about half my stack. I lost a few pots quickly after this, being somewhat cold decked, and was down to about 5k, having started with 40k in chips. Patrik now had a 15 to 1 chip lead. Ouch.

Then our all in fest started. First I was all in with A6 vs. A3 and won. Then K6 vs. K8 and chopped (wow, this was a big one) and then came one of the sickest all ins of the heads up. I pushed with A7 and Patrik called with K9. The flop came K93 and I stood up to shake Patrik’s hand. The Ace on the turn gave me some outs however and as the 7 fell on the river I had escaped elimination once again. Now I had clawed myself back up to about 27k in chips and we had a game again.

We went back and forth for a while now and were pretty much the only two guys still playing. I finally got the chip when value bet the river with 2nd pair on a paired board. The very next hand after getting the chip lead Patrik limped on the button and I raised it up to 13k (blinds were 1.5k and 3k) with AKs. Patrik then shovedall in and I called. Pat made a move with JTo and my AK held up.

During the heads up Patrik played great and was a really tough opponent, by far the toughest I played heads up so far. He was very unlucky to lose all the races when I was all in. He did, however, screw up on the last hand so I don’t really feel bad about beating my friend.

As I’m writing this I just beat John Hanson (a high stakes player from New York who beat me and Barry Greenstein in a 225k PLO pot last summer with an ace high flush draw vs. my middle set and Barry’s over pair and king high flush draw). In this match I ran pretty good and crippled John when I flopped the top set of nines. My next match is in 2.5h against either Eric Lynch or some random dude named Paradiso. I guess I have to hope I face this Paradiso guy in the next round.

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My Love/Hate Relationship with Tournament Poker


Author: Jeremiah Smith Tournament: 2007 WSOP
Published on: 20:36:16 on Jun 19, 2007

Every day...hell, every moment spent on the tournament floor has within it several instances of why I both love and hate the game.  I totally hate it because:

Every cliche about the Amazon Room being a "poker jungle" is true
I mean, seriously, can't we be a bit more creative than running the jungle image into the ground?  Eugene Todd, bro, actually had a new and improved metaphor to describe the pandemonium around the $5,000 Heads-Up event.  Heather told me that he walked into the room and blurted, "This is worse than $@#%ing immigration!" The tournament started over two hours late, players were moved from table to table, several players went back to their room because they had a bye, and eventually the second round was moved back an hour as well.

The best hand never seems to win
I was sweating Erick "E-Dog" Lingren in the $2,500 Six-Handed event in the hopes of getting some late-stage six-handed strategy tips from him.  Steve Wong was on a bit of a rush at his table, opening several pots in a row and E-Dog had already come over the top of him all-in.  The second time they butted heads, Steve opened for 16k,  E-Dog pushed in for 120k and Steve called with 66.  Erick had him dominated with 1010 but a 6 fell on the turn.  It was a huge overcall for Steve, and Erick had set up the situation perfectly.  If Erick wins the hand, he probably would've made his second six-handed final table in two years.

No matter how many small pots you win, it's the big ones that count
PokerWire Radio host/King of Hairy Italian comedy Joe Stapleton and I were watching a few players during their heads up matches.  I had watched Howard "Bore A Hole Through Your Skull With My Icy Stare" Lederer win small pot after small pot against Dan "Will Someone Please Buy Me a Hat That Fits" Harrington, but Harrington seemed to win the really big ones.  The same was true of Kristy Gazes against Rene Angelil.  Angelil limped in and both players checked down an A8XX8 board until the river, when they got it all in.  Kristy held 86 but Angelil slowplayed AA to double up.

 

However, for every moment in tournament poker that makes me vomit in my mouth, there's at least one more reason why I love it:

 

If it weren't for luck, Phil Hellmuth really would win every tournament
The guy is a machine.  He's already at another final table.  ESPN actually shut down play last night at 10 players because Phil was on the short-stack and they wanted him to be on TV.  It turned out to be a smart move by them, as he has already outlasted a few players.  Phil's ability to put on a clinic year in and year out at the WSOP demonstrates that it truly is a game of skill.  Yes, players go through streaks of "running good" and "running bad," but in the end it all evens out and the best players come out on top.

Mr. Bell is a hell of a guy
This good ol' boy from North Carolina always brings a smile to my face.  He waved me over to the rail to meet Mrs. Bell today, and ask about an update on his boy.  I first met Chris Bell's dad at the LAPC where his son just missed the final table.  Watching him and Mike Gracz (affectionately called "Keeeid" by Mr. Bell) pound the beers is entertainment worth paying for.  Mr. Bell is the only guy I know who could give JDN a run for his money on storage capacity for hops and barley. 

I have the best co-workers a guy could ask for
Seriously--I'm getting paid to travel around the world and watch people play poker--and I get to do it with some of my favorite people.  I tend to not be a late-night guy, but I decided to come back to the Rio last night to hang out with Alex (aka AlFX), Really Good Producer Jeremy, and LA Mike last night at Tilted Kilt.  Everyone at PokerWire has a niche and it's great to see an all-star team like this together (with Heather, Amanda, and Stapes rounding out the field).  The WSOP has been fun, but when we have the access to events we're used to (live updates, chip counts, and video), look out, because we'll have the best coverage on the net.

The Urban Dictionary accepts new poker terminology
Thanks to Gavin for pointing this out on the radio show. 

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